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Market Analysis: The Recent Domestic And Foreign Cotton Price Gap Has Been Greatly Narrowed
Recently, with the main contract of American cotton ICE Futures breaking through 130 cents / pound, the basis quotation and buy it now price of American cotton, Brazilian cotton, West African cotton and other shiploads and bonded cotton have risen sharply. However, the domestic cotton futures and current prices are weak, and the market is in shock. The panel price of cf2205 contract is still at 21500 yuan / T, so the price difference between domestic and foreign cotton has been greatly narrowed, The competitiveness of imported cotton decreased significantly.
From March 21 to 22, the buy it now price of bonded Brazilian cotton m 1-1 / 8 in China's main ports rose to 142-144 cents / pound, the net weight cost of direct import under 1% tariff was 21800-22120 yuan / ton, the basis quotation of 31-3 / 31-4 36 / 37 of American cotton shipping from April to June also rose to 148.4-149.5 cents / pound, and the net weight cost of direct import under 1% tariff was 23000-23150 yuan / ton.
At present, in 2021 / 22, Shandong, Jiangsu, Henan and other inland warehouses offer only 23200-23400 yuan / ton of Xinjiang cotton "double 28" machine picked cotton, and the price difference between Brazilian cotton and Xinjiang cotton is rapidly narrowed to 1000-1200 yuan / ton, which has significantly reduced the inquiry of cotton textile mills and traders for foreign cotton shipping and tax protected cotton.
Although the competitiveness of American cotton and Brazilian cotton quoted in US dollars has weakened, the performance of "buy it now" foreign cotton in port customs clearance is good. Under the continuous influence of the US New Territories cotton ban, many domestic export-oriented enterprises have to replenish the foreign cotton for port customs clearance. On March 22, the net weight of Brazil cotton m 1-1 / 8 at Qingdao port (601298) was quoted at 23200-23400 yuan / ton, lower than that of Xinjiang cotton 100-300 yuan / ton in the mainland.
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