How Does The Future Market Price Change?

Recently, the Xinjiang research group organized by the central reserve cotton information center came to Kuche to investigate. In 2016, the cotton planting area in Xinjiang Kuche county was 1 million 500 thousand mu, which was basically the same as last year. The weather is good and the water supply is adequate this year. The cotton yield will reach 350 kg / mu, and the total output of lint is estimated at 14-15 tons (hand picked cotton). At present, the market spinning enterprises have stock on hand, and the goods are not active, but the price of inquiry is much.

The Xinjiang inspection team of the central reserve cotton information center came to Xinjiang Korla area to investigate and investigate. The inspection team has arrived at the Sino cotton storage Korla limited liability company, the two agricultural division twenty-ninth group processing plant, the iron gate new City Textile Co., Ltd., Xinjiang Lihua cotton industry Limited by Share Ltd and other units visit the inspection forum, and communicate with the local enterprises to fully understand the acquisition and processing of Xinjiang cotton in 2016, cotton quality and storage situation.

It is understood that the cotton planting area of the two division of cotton and hemp company in the last year is basically 530 thousand yuan, which is basically the same as that of last year. It is estimated that the output of seed cotton is 220 thousand tons. According to the calculation of 40 lint, the lint yield is estimated to be 100 thousand tons, and the proportion of machine picked cotton is 90%. At present, the picking rate of machine picked cotton has reached 60%, and the processing cotton storage has more than 18000 tons. The quality of lint cotton tested this year is good, and the cotton index "double 29" and "double 30" have been tested as the main body, and the horse value is mainly B2.

At present, the sale price of lint is 14800 yuan / ton plus 2000 yuan / ton risk margin, and the sale price is based on the guidance price issued by the Corps. The two division cotton and flax has attached great importance to cotton quality for several years. Efforts have been made from cotton varieties, planting density, film thickness, machine production technology and cotton processing links. Cotton quality To reduce "three silk", 29 groups, 31 regiments and 33 regiments have become BCI members.

Members of the inspection delegation visited the 29 machine group cotton processing plant of the two division on the spot. At present, more than 4000 tons of seed cotton have been acquired in the factory, and more than 10 thousand tons of lint are expected to be processed in this factory. Subsequently, the delegation came to visit the local textile enterprises. The new textile of iron gate city is the key investment project of the two division of the Xinjiang Corps. The enterprise 300 thousand spindles cotton spinning project, has started 150 thousand spindles, and the enterprise uses the new import equipment to produce the new rotor spinning 21S, 32S, the ring spinning combed 32S and 40S. The enterprise has already started to use the new cotton production, and pays great attention to the selection of "three silk" in the production process, and strictly controls the quality of the yarn.

In discussions with the Xinjiang Lihua cotton industry Limited by Share Ltd, according to the person in charge of the enterprise, this year Lihua cotton factory has 12 factories, 16 contractors, a total of 28 processing plants, 2016 is expected to buy 150 thousand tons of lint and trade volume of 150 thousand tons. At present, 80 thousand tons of lint have been purchased and processed, and cotton is mainly processed by hand picking. The quality and quality of the cotton produced by the process are above 50% and 29.

at present Textile enterprises On the hand, there are a lot of reserve cotton stocks in the early stage, and the procurement of textile enterprises is not active, and sales of lint are slow. According to the person in charge, at present, the purchase price of local hand picked cotton is 7.3-7.4 yuan / kg (lint 40-41), the cost is above 16000 yuan / ton, and the price of lint is at 15400 yuan / ton. This year's business strategy is to sell in monthly and sub annual progress, looking for a reasonable price in the futures market, and actively participating in hedging and avoiding risks.

According to local enterprises, there are 9 factories under the company, all of which are contracted abroad, each contracting cost is 1 million 800 thousand yuan. Unginned cotton The purchase price is on the high side. At present, the acquisition and sale price is upside down, and the market should be cautiously purchased. There are 28 400 type enterprises in the region, and 28 enterprises have also convened meetings before scaling up. They have reached an agreement, unifying prices and not buying each other.

Since the start of this year's scale, the purchase price of local seed cotton has risen from 6.5 yuan / kg (40-42%) to 8.3-8.5 yuan / kg at the highest time, and the price has dropped to 7.4-7.5 yuan / kg at present. National Day Price Surging, in the irrational acquisition situation, enterprises have rushed to buy resources, the agreement automatically broke. The processing capacity of each enterprise is at least 5000 tons, and the annual purchase volume is about 3000 tons. By the end of November and the beginning of December, the processing was over. Overcapacity led to a rush to buy during the acquisition period.