Jade Name: The Market After The Festival Is Totally Different From That Before The Festival.

After 3 consecutive days of monthly line, in September, after the two wave jump, the market closed out the small Yin K-line. The monthly amplitude was only 4.43%, which reached a new low in the year. The amount of energy in the year is equal to that in February and May. This feature conforms to the characteristics of September's "calendar buying method", which is also a trend before the festival.

Yu Ming believes that the standard of pre market quotations can not be applied to postganglionic market. New analysis is needed.

There are not many other factors in the last trading day before the holiday. The festival has already been withdrawn from the beginning of the week, and there are not many options for the fence sitter. The holding of the festival is long established, so the closing market has become a trend of long term temporary control. However, after the festival, the choice of funds will be re opened, so that the gap between the two sides will appear.

Therefore, the post holiday market is totally different from that before the festival.

First,

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The total number of two cities has dropped from 7000-8000 yuan to 400 billion yuan. In the near future, it has fallen below 350 billion yuan. It has come to the 300 billion yuan line. The lack of quantity can be understood as holding money, but the more important thing is that after the withdrawal of funds, the market has not returned to the market.

On the other hand, it is the consumption of the market itself.

"There are few hot spots in the market, and a large number of retail investors are still trading at a high frequency. As a result, they have been repeatedly consumed by chives and new shares, and the final assets have shrunk, and they have been forced to leave the market.

No matter what kind of investors, investors should make it clear that the reliability of the unlimited weak rebound is low, and even can be defined as quotas and quotations. Therefore, after the festival, the market is to see the amount of energy. Before the festival, it can be said that because of the holiday effect, if the festival is still the case, it is necessary to face the reality of the market weakness.

Second.

Aspect.

Although there are hot spots in the near future (such as PPP concept, steel reorganization, Hengda department, etc.), most of the hot spots are one-day tours, and suddenly Changyang pulls up, and the next day it starts to fall back. The rapid switching of hot spots has shown that the willingness to stay in the field is not strong enough, which is not conducive to the sustainability of the rebound.

Therefore, whether there is a persistent hot spot after the festival, or is there a popular appeal, the plate weathervane mentioned yesterday is also a key indicator for monitoring.

Yu believes that due to the cautious mood and the mentality of selling, there is pressure on the market and support. The resistance is the gap and the annual line. The support refers to the 120 day line. To be honest, resistance or support is actually not too strong. It only stems from the unique environment now, the long holidays and the sensitive information window, which leads to very cautious market funds. This is why the market sentiment is even lower than that before the Mid Autumn Festival, and the market is waiting for the external force to break down.

From this point of view, although the pre holiday market is sluggish, after the relevant factors are realized, there is also hope after the festival.