China Garment Association Said That The Domestic Garment Industry Has Entered A Period Of Adjustment And Pformation.
< p > recently, the China clothing association held a media meeting to inform the media about the current situation and future development trend of China's apparel industry.
The development of the garment industry is rather grim.
Specifically, it has the following performance: < /p >
< p > one is the increment of export price.
According to customs statistics, the number of garment exports in China has been negative growth for 13 consecutive months. In 1-9 months this year, the monthly decline was 6.44%, 11.40%, 3.65%, 5.28%, 3.79%, 3.60%, 4.53%, 4.26% and 2.9%, respectively, showing a downward trend.
The growth of export volume also continued to decline. By September this year, the cumulative growth rate had dropped to 1.35%.
The cost push up the price, and the export volume is squeezed out, resulting in the increase of export amount is much lower than the price increase. However, the price increase has narrowed month by month, which has dropped from 11.14% in January to 3.04% in September.
< /p >
< p > two is the weak trend of domestic sales.
In the 1-9 month of this year, the figures of the National Bureau of statistics showed that the total amount of commercial enterprises above Designated Size < a href= "//www.sjfzxm.com/news/index_cj.asp" > clothing sales < /a > the amount increased by 17.8%.
It was 7% lower than the same period last year.
Sales data of 3000 retail enterprises which were monitored by the Ministry of Commerce showed that the retail sales of key retail enterprises increased by 8% over the same period in September 2012, of which clothing sales increased by 6.8% over the same period last year, down 16.5 percentage points from the same period last year.
Hundreds of large retail enterprises in the China National Business Information Center monitored the sales volume of clothing in the 1-9 months of this year, an increase of 12.02% over the same period last year, down 12.16 percentage points from the same period last year.
< /p >
< p > three is the decline in the profit margin of enterprises.
According to the statistics of the National Bureau of statistics, the sales revenue of 14328 Enterprises above Designated Size in the 1-9 months of this year increased from 13% at the beginning of the year to 10%, lower than the average level in the past two years.
Profit margins also dropped from 6% at the beginning of the year to 5.09%.
At present, the number of deficit enterprises has reached 16.32% in the enterprises above Designated Size, and the average loss has increased by 47.75% over the same period.
< /p >
< p > however, it is a bit gratifying that industry investment confidence is restored.
In the three quarter, the fixed asset investment in the clothing industry was 182 billion 780 million yuan, up 15.74% from the same period last year, down 24.8 percentage points from the same period last year, and slowing down for the three consecutive quarter.
However, from the point of view of the ring ratio, the growth rate of investment has narrowed by quarter, and the growth rate of new projects has risen from -11.78% in the beginning of the year to -2.85%.
A slight rebound in the new project means that the overall investment confidence of the garment industry has begun to recover to a certain extent as the economic environment is showing signs of a bottoming bounce.
< /p >
< p > for the cause of the grim situation of the industry, apart from the international economic circle, Wang Zhuo, Secretary General of the China clothing association, has the following reasons: < /p >
< p > from the perspective of export market, first of all, the EU economy continues downward, the Japanese economy is facing recession, and the US economy is better, but the financial pressure is looming, and the international market is generally in a doldrums; < /p >
< p > labor costs rise.
According to the research and calculation of China clothing association, the average synthetic cost of export processing enterprises accounts for about 25% of the cost of the products.
In the first half of 2012, labor costs rose by about 15%, pushing the overall cost up by 3 percentage points. The average profit margin of small and medium enterprises processing export low-end products was around 3%, so export orders almost had no profit.
The comprehensive rise in the cost of production factors has made our orders obvious to the emerging market economies.
< /p >
< p > from the domestic consumer market, < a href= "//www.sjfzxm.com/news/index_s.asp" > the overall economy < /a > growth rate has dropped, consumer confidence has dropped; clothing prices are still at a relatively high level, to a certain extent, inhibit consumer clothing consumption expenditure; brand owners are high inventories, through discount discounting inventory, coupled with frequent discount sales promotion, resulting in consumers' psychological of discounted purchase; terminal business costs continue to rise.
< /p >
< p > but under all kinds of unfavorable industrial environment, facing the negative factors of the development of the industry, the industry and enterprises must actively respond to difficulties, and strive for stability and progress, pformation and upgrading.
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< p > domestic garment industry has entered a period of adjustment and pformation.
After nearly 30 years of rapid growth, China's apparel industry is entering a pitional period of adjustment and pformation.
China's garment industry is facing an important pformation from winning the development of quantity to winning by product quality and product innovation, winning by business mode and winning by management.
< /p >
Under the complex and changeable environment, China's garment industry has both opportunities and challenges. It is very important to correctly understand the current situation and find the future direction of development. P
China Garment Association combines the related industry prosperity index report to analyze and identify the next year's industrial trend: < /p >
< p > one is that the export growth is under greater pressure, but it can still maintain a low growth rate.
Since the beginning of this year, world economic growth has slowed down, international trade growth has slowed down, and various risks have increased significantly.
Looking forward to next year, the world economic situation will continue to be very grim and complicated. There will be more uncertainties and unstable factors, and international trade will maintain a certain growth and increase in volume.
At the same time, despite the increasing labor costs and resource and environmental costs in recent years, China's apparel industry has a complete industrial chain and advanced technology level, and its advantages in international competition still exist.
It is estimated that the growth rate of garment exports will not be lower than the growth rate of international trade in the same period next year.
< /p >
< p > two is domestic demand for a href= "//www.sjfzxm.com/news/index_f.asp" > clothing growth < /a > supporting role is stronger.
Insisting on expanding domestic demand is still an important starting point for macroeconomic regulation and control policies. With the deepening of macroeconomic regulation and control, the domestic economy will maintain steady growth, and the income of urban and rural residents will continue to increase steadily, providing a fundamental impetus for the growth of domestic demand.
Domestic monetary policy has been relaxed and prices have steadily stabilized. These effects will further play a positive role in promoting domestic consumption growth.
Although the annual growth rate of clothing consumption is still hard to go back to the previous years, the growth rate will gradually increase, and the pulling effect on the garment industry will also gradually increase.
< /p >
< p > three is the increasing pressure on the operation of the industry.
First, the difference between domestic and foreign cotton prices has a great impact on the industry; two, the cost of labor and environmental resources will continue to rise. The three is that although the credit policy is loose next year, the difficulties of financing and financing are still difficult to solve. The cost of financing is still high. The pressure of capital shortage on enterprises is still greater. Four, the demand for energy saving and emission reduction continues to improve, and enterprises will pay greater cost in terms of energy conservation and emission reduction.
< /p >
< p > four is a new advantage and the situation is urgent.
At present, the pace of technological progress of domestic enterprises is not suited to the requirements of the external situation.
The endogenous driven development mode has not become the mainstream of the whole industry development. Most enterprises rely mainly on quantity to win the development, relying on cost competition, technological progress speed, development mode and innovation ability are not yet able to adapt to the changes in the external environment.
< /p >
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