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The Weak Zheng Cotton Suddenly Rose To &Nbsp, And The Overall Weakness Pattern Was Unchanged.

2012/3/19 13:32:00 5

Overall Cotton Pattern

Monday (March 19th)

Zheng cotton

Rebounded, the main contract opened 1209 yuan 21300 yuan / ton, near noon suddenly pulled up, reported 21400 yuan, compared with last Friday's settlement price rose 105 yuan.


Although the price rebounded, it should be noted that the weakness of downstream demand always restricts Zheng cotton and makes it vulnerable to change.

The overall trend of the current price has not yet stabilized.

1209, the contract market is still likely to continue to seek 21000-21100 yuan first line support.


Supply and demand side, in March 9th, the US Department of agriculture (USDA) released this year's global cotton production and sales forecast, compared with last month, the United States factory cotton and end inventory adjustment.

Among them, the amount of cotton used in the factory was reduced by 22 thousand tons, while the initial inventory, output and export volume had not been adjusted, and the final inventory increased by 22 thousand tons to 849 thousand tons.


Global adjustment mainly includes increasing supply.

Down consumption

Among them, Brazil and Egypt initially raised their stocks, the output of Brazil and Pakistan increased, and the output of cotton in Australia was cut down; the cotton consumption in China, Brazil and Egypt was down; the volume of trade increased by 4%, mainly because the export volume of India cotton far exceeded the market expectation, adjusted to 1 million 687 thousand tons, and the import volume was increased by 294 thousand tons, mainly because the 40% of China's cotton output entered the reserve pool, so the import volume increased by 327 thousand tons, and the stock in the end of China increased significantly.

In addition, global end stocks increased 337 thousand tons to 13 million 569 thousand tons.


In addition, as of March 14th, 2011 tons of cotton temporary storage and storage totaled 2 million 871 thousand and 400 tons, with a total turnover of 1 million 600 thousand and 300 tons in Xinjiang and a total turnover of 1 million 271 thousand and 100 tons in the mainland.

At present, the purchase and storage of 2011 is coming to an end. By the end of March 31st, the purchase and storage of the cotton will be finished. It is expected that the state will take up 3 million tons of cotton, which will account for 45% of the domestic cotton output. Although the purchase and storage has eased the supply pressure of the short-term spot market, but because of the weaker textile demand in the lower reaches, the purchase and storage of the new year has not been opened yet, and the market is worried about the lack of State purchasing and storage support.

Domestic cotton spot price

We will face the pressure of falling back again.

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