Under The Influence Of Trade War, 70% Of Yiwu'S Foreign Trade Garment Processing Plants Have Not Started Yet?
When the value of the dollar dropped, orders fell, and the International Cup was full of hot busiest.
Yiwu, Zhejiang, is known as the "barometer" of the economic trend. It often reacts at the first moment whenever the international environment changes. At the moment, China and the United States are experiencing a global economic and trade conflict.
In this competition, China's low-end products are considered to be the first to be affected by "beacon fire".
For a moment, Yiwu's small and medium-sized entrepreneurs, who symbolized the vitality of our shopping malls, seem to be on the cusp.
They are facing not only the uncertainty brought about by the Sino US war of business, but also the decline in demand brought by the slowdown in Europe and new shopping malls.
Online retailers
Vigorous development and so on.
In the cluttered era, how did the businessman in Yiwu suffer and what expectations did he have? Recently, the reporter visited the city to explore it.
The 01 part of the occupation "temperature" has changed.
"Orders from the United States dropped by 30% to 40% over the previous year".
Starting from Yiwu Airport, a ride to the East for more than half an hour, a huge construction group came into view.
Yiwu International Trade City
。
In this shopping mall with a total area of 5 million 500 thousand square meters and consisting of 5 regions, there are 75 thousand business positions in various products such as textiles, hardware, lamps and stationery.
It has been calculated that if you stay in each business place for 3 minutes, accounting for 8 hours a day, you need to visit the entire Yiwu International Trade City for nearly a year and a half.
Ji Dongchu, one of the tens of thousands of businessmen in Yiwu, is one of the main swimmen in processing and selling bathing suits.
For him, the winter idea came earlier this year, because "orders from the United States dropped by 30% to 40% over the previous year".
The United States is the "big customer" of Zhi Heng clothing Limited company in the beginning of winter.
The sales volume of the company's annual sales of 20 million yuan is dependent on exports, while the huge American shopping centers account for more than 60% of the total export volume of the business. 60%.
Swimsuit products are not in the first two rounds of tariffs in the United States, the main reason for the decline in orders is uncertain "psychological expectations".
"Many American Importers are afraid to place orders.
They are worried about the order now. What if they were paid tax when delivery? "
Ji Dongchu told the "Global Times" reporter: "we have studied with many clients. If we impose a 10% tariff, we can reduce the profit margin by 3% or so with three middlemen and importers.
But if the tax rate is 25%, then no matter how much we can afford it, our profit rate will be around 8%.
After Ji Dongchu's death, there were several small factories for his company's OEM.
Every year in autumn and winter, he will go to these factories to investigate the production situation, but this year he did not go.
"In the past, these factories that made the processing for us, 70% to now, have not started yet, because they have not received orders.
October and November should have been the busiest processing season. "
The Zhejiang businessman sighed to reporters, "you can feel the temperature change of the whole profession."
Through the clothing area at the beginning of the winter season, the other side of the commercial city is the Christmas product sales area.
Here, Christmas trees, Santa Claus, elk toys, snowflake ornaments, colorful lanterns and other products are dazzling.
Although compared to other product areas, the area of Christmas products is not large.
But many people do not know that more than 600 enterprises in Yiwu produce 2/3 Christmas products all over the world. During that time, 30% of the orders from some enterprises came from the United States.
Jiang Jiangping was the first Yiwu businessman to test Christmas products at the end of the last century.
When the reporter came to his shop, he was meditating, and there were all kinds of walls around him.
Christmas hat
Sample.
Jiang Jiangping told reporters that there were not many American customers, and the impact of Sino US trade war was more reflected in the change of raw data cost.
Unlike previous prices that are highly regulated and followed the season, many changes in the cost of raw data this year can be described as "unprecedented."
"We make Christmas hat chemical fabrics and so on.
Crude oil prices have surged since the start of the trade war, and these data are also rising as a dirty product.
Of course, I am not sure whether the change of oil price is caused by the trade and war, but I feel close to it. "
Jiang Jiangping pointed to the top of the wall.
Hat
It said, "in July, the method of tariff collection between China and the United States officially came into effect. All kinds of raw materials began to raise prices from August 1st, and in September, they rose another round.
For example, the cloth of this hat was 9000 yuan / ton before, now it rises to 10 thousand and 200 yuan / ton, and this plush has risen from 7.5 yuan / meter to 9.8 yuan / meter.
This led to many of the orders for delivery in August this year, accounting for about 40% of the total annual orders. We haven't made much money.
In addition to the war against China, some other policies in the United States this year also sparked a ripple in Yiwu, such as sanctions against Iran and Turkey, all of which are traditional export markets in Yiwu. The two countries are also the ones in Yiwu.
"Our sales volume for Iran and Turkey has shrunk this year, because worries are being sanctioned by the United States."
Some businessmen told reporters.
02 Yiwu businessmen are active in coping with the future.
"The world is so big, not just one country in the United States".
Although many businessmen in Yiwu talk about the impact of trade and war, what journalists feel is not disappointment and depression. Instead, they are trying to break through difficulties and seek new and active ways of developing new ideas.
A cat has a cat's road, a dog has a dog's way.
Find ways to fill the losses. "
At the beginning of the winter, fingers were counted on their reporters. "We are trying to contact some American Importers directly, so that we can step over the intermediate links such as the import and export companies, so that we can save some capital, and do more domestic sales. Now the domestic shopping malls are bigger and bigger, especially in many schools, offering swimming lessons for the children, plus the decrease in exchange rate value is a little bit lost. Let's strengthen the planning link.
All add up, also can digest a lot.
Ms. king is a stationery business in the three District of the international trade city.
Although American guests have been cut this year, she is not worried because her products are "more diversified".
"We have all the lists in Europe, the Middle East and Southeast Asia. Although these locals sometimes prefer low-end products, they win lower interest rates, but they are bigger than others."
Ms. Kim asked the reporters on the side of the tally. "The world is so big, it's not just a country in the United States, is it? We are still doing normal business."
The woman who looks less than 40 years old is very optimistic about the future and feels that this campaign can't last for too long, because "if we can't really digest the capital gains, we can't digest the price of consumer goods. The prices of consumer goods in the American market will also rise, and their people will not be able to eat, so Trump will have to step down."
Ms. Kim's philosophy is not groundless.
Zhejiang's import and export data show that although the external trading environment is unstable, in the first three quarters of 2018, the total import and export volume of the province remained as high as 2 trillion and 110 billion yuan, an increase of 12.5% compared with the same period last year, while exports increased by 9.7% to 1 trillion and 570 billion yuan.
Along with this, some businessmen smell the smell of change and turn to the import profession, which is quite unusual in the export oriented Yiwu.
Shi Xin Yu is the global preferred general manager of Yiwu Tai Mei family. When the reporter came to Yiwu, he was planning to go to Shanghai to join the fair to find a better and more extensive source of goods.
"There is a great demand for all kinds of consumer goods in the domestic market."
Shi Xin Yu told reporters about his original intention of changing his career, but he also indicated that "in this age of winner take all, such as Yiwu and China, the small and medium-sized enterprises that are traditionally exporting are required to do import. They also need to face the problem of how to open up the selling channels and how to create logistics packaging."
What is interesting is that many businessmen have shown to reporters that "it's not so cold to the US stores" because the procedures for exporting to the United States are too cluttered, various demands and policies changing from time to time, and many products often earn very little profit.
"If an American visitor comes to us, he will certainly do business, but we do not have much interest in digging more American customers," some businessmen told reporters. "If this situation continues, we will ask American customers to pay cash in the future to reduce the danger we ourselves are facing."
03, facing external challenges and strengthening internal supervision.
A businesswoman's policy: compete with "German production"
In addition to the trade and war, Yiwu also needs more challenges. For external reasons, the slowdown in demand for Europe and new shopping malls has led to a decline in demand. India and Southeast Asian countries have become competitive competitors in the production of low-end consumer goods in terms of labor capital advantage. From the inside perspective, under the setting of China's urban pformation promotion, safety supervision, environmental protection and other policies and methods are more and more severe, and many small and micro enterprises have to move out or shut down.
For Yiwu, the new way of looking for industrial promotion has been very urgent.
Wang Xiaona's ancient music hardware tool is one of the first batch of enterprises that have tasted the sweetness of the industry.
The company mainly engaged in high-end agricultural, industrial and construction hardware appliances, the total export volume last year is about 60 million yuan, over 40% of which are high value-added products.
This year, their total sales are expected to rise by at least 10%.
During her interview with reporters, Wang Xiaona occasionally visited foreign stores and asked her for quotations for various products.
Wang Xiaona told reporters that her company started attacking high-end shopping malls 3 years ago.
"For example, this pliers, the front part is chrome vanadium steel, professional industrial high-end steel, construction and industrial wire and iron nails can be cut off, and durability is strong, at least 2000 times."
Wang Xiaona told reporters, "do not belittle this little pliers, so the quality of the whole world can only be pferred to Southeast Asia as long as our country and Germany make it, because there is no skill, sophisticated industrial chain and the workers needed.
So every other person sells 8.5 yuan, we sell 13.5 yuan, so many people are willing to buy.
Moreover, its winning rate can reach 30%, which means that the profit margin means that we can digest the external risks better. "
The businesswoman also has a more ambitious plan: she will continue to increase production and quality in the next 3 years, so that she can compete with "German production" in the global market.
"Now many customers still believe in German products, which is normal. It took decades for German people to have today's precipitation.
But I believe that in less than 35 years, at least in our small area, "our country's production" must be equal to "German production".
Yiwu's local government is also accelerating the pformation of the city with the efforts made by people in Yiwu to seek change.
In the International Trade City, the Yiwu science and Technology Bureau specially set up a new high-tech product body hall, displaying the products with more scientific and technological content after "upgrading" of smart home, 3D printing pen, bacteriostatic brush toothbrush, and so on, pointing out the direction for the future of Yiwu's small products.
Together with this, the Yiwu government is also increasing its support for e-commerce, and has set up 26 electric power industrial parks to deal with the combination of "production" and "marketing" of Yiwu's small products.
In the process of field visits, the Global Times reporter found that unlike the outsiders' simple fantasy of "the electricity supplier to crush Yiwu's small products city", Yiwu businessmen welcomed the electricity supplier appropriately.
Many people told reporters that the electricity supplier has brought unprecedented sales volume to them. Because Yiwu is facing a large number of acquisitions, customers still need to go to the store to see the goods before they place the order. "Only modern communication skills have reduced the number of times they come in person".
In the twenty-fourth China just finished
Yiwu international small products fair
Yiwu attracted more than 204 thousand visitors and buyers, an increase of 13.09% over the same period last year.
During the meeting, more than 60 thousand pactions and cooperation intentions were achieved, with a total turnover of 18 billion 428 million yuan, an increase of 3.1% over the same period last year.
The increase in data is certainly rejoicing, and human change is even more pleasant.
When commenting on the Sino US war of Commerce and war and other challenges, Shi Xin Yu said, "human beings are moving from the" big industry "era to the" digital "era. All logic will reverse the reconstruction: the industrial age is linear, continuous and predictable; the digital age is broken, sudden and unpredictable.
The age of industry lies in the possession and possession, and the digital age lies in activities and sharing.
He told reporters that these portraits came from a book he read recently: "international is becoming soft."
A moment later, the Zhejiang businessman seemed to overlap with the impression of Yiwu people who had "chicken feather for sugar" more than 30 years ago, passing through the light and shadow of the time. The images of the two seem to be the same and different.
Perhaps people in Yiwu and Yiwu are experiencing a change of age.
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