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Large Scale Cotton Picking This Year Is In Late 9.

2016/8/18 16:20:00 26

CottonFiber And Market

Recently, I traveled to Shandong Province on business.

cotton

Liaocheng Dongchangfu District, one of the main producing areas, saw the cotton growing well, and the growth indicators all exceeded the level of the same period last year. The cotton yield per unit area is expected to increase over the same period last year. For the new cotton purchase scale in the new year, Zhang Jing Li, Shandong Liaocheng Dongchangfu Cotton Industry Co., Ltd., said: "this year, it will still open in the middle of 9.

And the peach trees will be cracked and boll out in succession. At present, the cotton plant in Dongchangfu district is in the 100--120 cm height, the number of fruit branches is about 10--12 per plant, the flowering plants are 2-3 / plants, the cotton bolls are 1-2 / plant, and the cotton will be concentrated into the boll opening period. The cotton will be moldy and the pests such as cotton bollworms will occur in the early days. Even the cotton farmers are strengthening the field management. The cotton output per mu is expected to reach 550 Jin this year. The cotton farmers have not yet picked up the crops. It is expected that the picking will be carried out by the end of August or early September, and will be picked in large quantities in late August. It is understood that the Dongchangfu district has "fifteen July (Lunar New Year) see the new flower" of the agricultural proverb, here the cotton field peach.

According to the author's understanding, since August 13th, the area has come to a moderate to heavy rain. The average rainfall is 30 millimeters, and the local area is close to 50 millimeters. The soil moisture is effectively improved. After 15 days, the weather clears up, the highest temperature is about 30 degrees Celsius, and the air humidity is 60%.

According to the forecast of the local meteorological department, rainy weather in August 18th and August 20th will lead to cloudy and cloudy weather in the coming week. The current cotton growth will stop gradually, and the flowers will become useless flowers in August 20th. The current cotton requirements for the weather are: sunny weather, adequate sunshine, dry air, and lower requirements for water. Rainy weather will not be conducive to cotton bolting, and the cotton that has not been picked is easy to form rain and rust cotton and affect cotton.

fibre

Growth and development.

It is reported that the management of cotton fields is mainly in the following aspects: first, continue to prune, prevent premature decay and prevent rotten bells; at present, it is mainly the stage of reproductive growth, and the early removal of the long branches is ensured by the need for reproduction and growth, promoting the development of cotton fiber, increasing boll weight and increasing yield per unit area. On the other hand, it is to increase the permeability of cotton fields and prevent the humidity in the fields from being too big and the light is not enough to cause rotten bolls.

The two is to control pests and diseases. Cotton is mainly dominated by cotton bollworm and insect pests in the boll opening period. It is difficult to control pesticide in cotton field by rainy weather. Cotton farmers expect the weather to turn fine, so as to facilitate the cotton bolting.

The three is to further eke out the continuous spraying of ethephon in late maturing cotton fields. The cotton bolls that have been bolting should be completed in time to ensure the quality of cotton.

When I visited several cotton enterprises in the locals, the time for the purchase of seed cotton in the new year was indicated in the middle and late 9 months. The main reasons were: first, the local cotton growers had the habit of selling "one cotton"; the seed cotton was not fully harvested and would not sell cotton, and the early purchase of scale cotton was of little significance; two, it was difficult to operate cotton this year, because the early quality of the real estate cotton was low.

market

Sales are more difficult. Three, the cotton planting intention continued to decline this year. According to the latest cotton planting survey and yield evaluation, the cotton planting area in the whole country is about 41 million 300 thousand mu, a decrease of 10.1% compared with the same period last year, of which the cotton planting area in Xinjiang has been reduced by 6.3%, and the the Yellow River and Yangtze river basins have been reduced by 19.1% and 15.1%.

The market's advantage of "cotton less" supports cotton farmers to expect the new cotton market to run at a high price this year. The price is low and the selling mentality is serious. Some cotton farmers even think that the price should be 5-6 yuan / kg. Cotton farmers generally have difficulty accepting lower seed cotton purchase price. The initial cotton seed purchase will be in a stalemate, so most cotton enterprises say that waiting for seed cotton to be picked up in large quantities, and the seed cotton purchase will be beneficial to the overall operation of cotton enterprises.

Enterprises said that the actual purchase price of seed cotton in 2016 will be affected by many factors, such as the operation of textile enterprises, the downstream consumption situation, the difference between domestic and foreign cotton prices, and the trend of the futures market. However, a few cotton business executives believe that, according to the experience of seed cotton purchase and the current market situation in the past years, the seed cotton purchase price in 2016 is likely to rise from 3.5 yuan / Jin, and it is possible to reach a peak in October. When we rush to harvest high-quality seed cotton resources, we must have a "dragon struggle" and do not rule out the possibility of 4 yuan / Jin. Of course, the above analysis is only the price of analysis and prediction, not the final purchase price, and how much the seed cotton purchase price can achieve, when the market will give the answer. For the new year, seed cotton opens the scale price, most of the cotton.

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